.tableizer-table th { Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. Such situations can often arise in turf races when an extremely slow pace prevents horses from running a final time of which they would normally be capable.In cases where figures are questionable, races are reviewed after horses in the field run again. . Kentucky Derby 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Messier and Taiba recorded a 103, tops on the list. margin: 3px; Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. margin: 3px; He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. It has sold approximately 200,000 copies, has been translated into Japanese and Korean, and is still in print after 44 years. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Suite 100 Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. Last year, he was on fire. Sven Beyer. It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. Below, well use Beyer Speed Figures to determine the speed of the 2022 Kentucky Derby field. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. So it's possible for a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse who finished ahead. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. color: #FFF; Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. Preakness 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. Low 43F. He said the best input you can have is to make sure you don't have any input. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on Saturday for his first stakes win in 14 career starts. Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball. The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. 111. It's an exciting time. The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts. The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? . Overall, the number reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. No one else has topped 96. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Top Beyer Speed Figures. Shancelot was trained by Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been well documented. 1 . He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. font-size: 12px; Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Through 02/26/2023. They keep stressing do what's right for the horse. Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts.The winning figure for a race is based on three factors: the final time, the distance, and the inherent speed of the track (a calculation known as the track variant.) The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . A look at the top Kentucky Derby contenders for the 2022 race heading into the March prep schedule, with Baffert still banned and new leaders in the points rankings. Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. Combining BSFs with other metrics like Brisnet Speed Figures and final furlong times gives us a more complete picture of this field. Where and when, I don't know yet. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? } However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. specialized hardware accelerators have been developed to facilitate high-speed computations for these data-intensive workloads. 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. On the Equibase scale, the 100 she earned is tied for the second-best last-out figure. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). This Saturday will see the 154th running of New York's horse racing classic, and Belmont Stakes odds have opened for betting. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. No specifics, he said. Another very fast horse who was handled that way was Ghostzapper (Awesome Again). University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! As of 02.26.23. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. I'm going to take it one step at a time. 0:49. In 1992, Beyer began making turf figures, which were made more accurate by his adjustment of the beaten-lengths chart, in which he uses the six-and-a-half furlong beaten-lengths chart for all races at that distance or longer, to reflect the nature of turf racing, where horses jockey for position most of the way, and then sprint home with almost all of their energy in reserve, making the competitive part of the race more akin to a sprint than to the race's actual distance. Trained by Rudy Rodriguez, the gelding led at every call to cover the six furlongs in 1.11.17. With the way things are looking, it seems like Epicenter has an excellent chance of winning the Kentucky Derby this year. Previewing the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. "Five Takeaways" From the Week Concluding March 13, 2022 By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Analyst and Handicapper. background-color: #104E8B; In the only . This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). padding: 4px; Trade. 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. The Beyer Speed Figures business is a partnership of Beyer and Mark Hopkins. by ericdecoster February 9, 202211 min read. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. His 120 was the highest number recorded since Quality Road earned a 121 in 2011. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. On 2016s Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. 7 Winners on Monday! Taiba also notched a 102 in winning the Santa Anita Derby April . Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. Sell. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a 102 in the Louisiana Derby. Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . I've got a good ownership group. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. table.tableizer-table { Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . Beyer Speed Figures have become an industry standard for the comparison of one horse's performance to another. With Rich Strike and Zandon defecting, it opens the door for the Derby runner-up to dip below 2-1, which is unusually short for a non-Derby winner. Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. Module One, GlobalFoundries, Wilschdorfer Landstrae 101, Dresden, 01109 Germany . Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. Speightstown took some time as a racehorse to come around, winning champion sprinter honors as a 6-year-old, and many of his best runners have improved significantly with age: Tamarkuz won the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile at 6; Haynesfield won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at 4; and Flagstaff became a Grade 1 winner at age 7. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. There is so much to look forward to out there.. The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. Your TDN download has begun. The popular rule of thumb for a rough equivalent of the Timeform score is to deduct 12-14 points to achieve the Beyer figure. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. color: #FFF; Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. } Epicenter, with Joel Rosario aboard, wins the $1 million Louisiana Derby horse race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, March 26, 2022. 0:04. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. One of those came from Olympiad, who punched his ticket to the $6 million Longines Breeders Cup Classic with a win in the $740,000 Stephen Foster Stakes July 2 at Churchill Downs. Beyers subsequent books, My $50,000 Year at the Races (1978), The Winning Horseplayer (1983), and Beyer on Speed (1993) continued to raise racing fans awareness of the importance of speed figures. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. border: 1px solid #CCC; Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." We might not have seen the best from Secret Oath and Creative Minister, who have shown they can run competitivefigures while they continue to improve. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . table.tableizer-table { Triple Crown Winners, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories, General Jim Can Post the Upset in Fountain of Youth Stakes, 2023 Fountain of Youth Stakes Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. After reaching the WIAA Division 1 girls basketball state . (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. [citation needed]. His Carter victory earned a career-high Beyer Speed Figure of 114. Call 7032375030 for more information. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. In Picking Winners, Beyer claimed a breakthrough when a study of claiming races at Calder Race Course showed Beyer that 1:13 for six furlongs was equally fast to 1:26.1 at seven; from there, Kovitz's math was used to generate perfectly accurate parallel-time and beaten-lengths charts, which Beyer then used to make par times for classes, against which each race is measured to determine if the track is faster or slower than normal. Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . Their six associates involved in making figures include television commentator Randy Moss and long-time Philadelphia sports columnist Dick Jerardi, who have been with the business since its beginning. The top-end speed runs deeper in this field, as well. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, you'll want the skinny on the horses. Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. Though by no means the end all and be all of picking winners, speed figures provide a good gauge of the overall talent level of horses in a race. (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. The only thing Sadler would commit to is that Flightline's next race will not be a sprint. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. Play today with NYRA Bets! Epicenter has just recently won the Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 points. Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. Going into last year's Kentucky Derby, the highest Beyer Speed Figure earned during the prep season was a 100 posted by Rock Your World when winning the Santa Anita Derby (G1). They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. The Beyer team felt justified for putting the older horse's time in context with the pace and level of the race. . Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. Note that unlike with Brisnet and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating its figures. Owned by WinStar . He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. Is Epicenter as much of a standout as he seems? With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. Six of the last eight horses to cross the finish line first in the Kentucky Derby have come from California. Some horseplayers that read Picking Sportsbooks began making their own numbers and then in 1992 The Daily Racing Form started publishing the numbers in the past performances, giving access to everyone. For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. [12] Easy Goer also ran 121, 120 and 119 speed figures in the 1989 Travers Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Whitney Handicap. Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. .tableizer-table th { The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. Happy Jack. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. 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