President Donald Trump holds a slight edge over former Vice President Joe Biden in Pennsylvania, according to, polling commissioned by this conservative website. Vote Democratic up and down the ticket. One other poll from a conservative website showed Trump in the lead, while another GOP friendly poll and two Democratic backed polls released this month showed Biden with an advantage in the state, although the margin varied by the pollster. I am not going to waste your time to discuss these. . So this is becoming a very interesting thing. A second, The Hill/Harris polling released in late-October, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, among likely voters in the state. Filtered Search, Enter your email address to subscribe to MBFC and receive notifications of new posts by email. "The race for Governor of Pennsylvania has tightened with Shapiro back under the 50% he enjoyed in our previous survey," Towery explained. * Walker increased his share of the African American vote by 8 points in one week. Design and development by Elena Meja and Aaron Bycoffe. The poll has a margin of error of 4.2%. Polling also released on Monday from the, Elections Research Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison conducted by YouGov in collaboration with the Wisconsin State Journal, of likely voters in the state showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 52%-to-44%. Insiders bias rating has moved from Center to Lean Left. A post-presidential InsiderAdvantage debate survey of 400 registered likely voters in Pennsylvania shows President Donald Trump now leading in this key battleground state. Just in the past 24 hours, Insider Advantage released a poll showing Mitt Romney turning a 2% South Carolina edge into a 11% lead over Newt Gingrich in an amazing 4 days. On a scale of -9 to +9 with 0 representing Center, respondents on average rated Insider as -2.62, putting it solidly in the Lean Left media bias category. These media sources have a slight to moderate liberal bias. Herschel walker has his own poll right now showing Herschel is within three or four points. by IAG Staff | Oct 17, 2022 | News, News 2 | 0 comments. Yet, this is not the first time that IA has been the most pro-Newt pollster. Mehmet Oz (Left) is slightly trailing John Fetterman (Right) in Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate race, according to the latest InsiderAdvantage/FOX 29 Philadelphia poll. A Franklin & Marshall College poll released on Oct. 28 showed Biden carrying a 6 point lead over Trump, 50%-to-44%, among likely voters in the state. The consistency of these pro-Newt numbers means that its not just random statistical fluctuations. * Warnock continues to have a large lead among women voters and Walker a substantial lead among men. [], [] from InsiderAdvantage have generally had more favorable results for Mr. Gingrich than those conducted by other polling firms, and the C.E.O. I disagree. There are several reasons why this happened. Anew Insider Advantage poll of the Nevada Senate race shows Republican Adam Laxalt beating Democrat Catherine Cortez-Masto 45.9 percent to 43 percent. Stories are usually relatively short, with bulleted summaries on top of the article. However, all versions of these polls are listed here. Pollster bias, the idea that a survey house's polls constantly favor one candidate or party vs. another, remains one of the more controversial subjects in the polling industry. These stories are well-sourced and align with science. Key challenges A previous New York Times/Siena College poll of likely voters released in early-October showed Biden carrying a 7 point lead over Trump, 49-to-42. And as in Iowa and South Carolina, they have previously had rapid and probably unrealistic changes in survey data in the week leading up to elections to become more amazingly more accurate in their final surveys. We also calculate measures of statistical bias in the polls. Trump, supposedly, was 10 points BEHIND Hillary in Ohio and tied in Utah? The unique perspective of the history and culture of the researchers program was the most significant advantage, enabling a deep level of understanding and interpretation. Can things change this dramatically in 3 weeks? A Trafalgar Group poll showed Trump leading Biden by less than 1 point, 48.4%-to-47.6%, among likely voters in the state. * Walker increased his share of the African American vote by 8 points in one week. A, CNN/SSRS poll of likely voters also released on Oct. 21, showed Biden leading Trump by 10 points, 53%-to-43%. 2023 FOX Television Stations, Matt Towery Sr., Founder of InsiderAdvantage, Professional pollster says polls do not predict elections, 4 people found dead, including child, in Brevard County home, sheriff says, These 3 Florida roads are among the deadliest in the U.S., report shows, Surgeon runs down Philadelphia street to retrieve organ from transport vehicle stuck in traffic, SpaceX Crew-6 launch: 'All systems are looking good' for liftoff from Florida, Sheriff: Florida man shoots own dog in head, blames it on 'intruder', Video shows moment deputies say Florida teacher's aide is knocked unconscious by student upset she took Switch, Cheerleader competes alone at state champs after squad quits: It felt amazing, Lakefront chaos: Man on jet ski arrested for allegedly slapping 68-year-old woman, Matanzas High student to be charged as adult in attack against teacher's aid: court docs, New charges filed against teen accused of killing Orlando journalist, little girl in Pine Hills shooting spree. Missed in this CNN/ORC drama was the potential bias of another pollster: Insider Advantage (IA). By clicking Sign Up, I confirmthat I have read and agreeto the Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. shows Biden besting Trump by 4.3 points in Pennsylvania. PHILADELPHIA - As Election Day nears, a new InsiderAdvantage/FOX 29 poll shows Republican nominee Dr. Mehmet Oz has gained ground on Democratic nominee John Fetterman in Pennsylvanias U.S. Senate race. Incumbents dont win runoffs in Georgia.. Phil leads hate groups and worked for Strom Thurmond. Towerys firm has constantly help to shape the Republican primary narrative by frequently polling the early Republican primary contests. This change in their final poll allowed IA to be among the top in the final pollster accuracy rankings. A, of likely voters released on Oct. 23 showed Biden leading Trump by 7 points, 51%-to-44%, in the state. We also calculate measures of statistical bias in the polls. These sources are generally trustworthy for information but may require further investigation. an insider researcher is justified, and the challenges faced, when a researcher undertakes an in-depth study of their own WIL program is examined. [] couple days ago, Harry discussed the shady results posted by pollster Insider Advantage during the 2012 primaries. In general what we're seeing are the Republican candidates in all of these states hanging in there even against incredible attacks like Herschel walker has taken in Georgia, for example. Fivethirtyeight thinks Trump will win this district by 0.9 points. of likely voters in the state shows Trump leading Biden by just over 1 point, 48.7%-to-47.4%, while 1.3% said they would vote for Libertarian presidential candidate Jo Jorgenesen, and 2.6% are undecided. Best way to prove polls wrong is to vote. A majority of likely voters would prefer Republicans to hold the congressional majorities after the midterms (51% to 39% for Democrats). The most likely result if Walker keeps rising is a runoff. Polls by American Research Group and Mason-Dixon also . A Washington Post/ABC News poll released on Sunday showed Biden with a 7 point advantage, 51%-to-44%, among likely voters in the state. Media Type: Website CNN's Don Lemon asked his panel on Tuesday if President Donald Trump telling women he is "getting your husbands back to work" is a message that will work with voters. The poll involved 550 likely voters and was conducted Sunday, October 16th with a margin of error of 4.2%. For Ad-Free Subscriptions go here: https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/membership-account/membership-levels/, Terms and Conditions Before going state by state, let me give one example that will also make you doubt a landslide Biden victory. A, Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 21, , showed Biden leading Trump by 8 points, 51%-to-43%. Insider Advantage somewhat shady history also lends credence to my suspicions. Phillip Meylan September 22, 2022. A Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes poll, in partnership with Oakland University and Ohio Northern University, shows Biden leading Trump by just over 5 points, 49.6%-to-44.5%. The site also became a trusted polling aggregator. A PoliticalIQ poll conducted by Scott Rasmussen showed Biden leading Trump by 6 points, 51%-to-45%, among likely voters in the state. For me, any one piece of this evidence would not be enough to say Insider Advantage is not a great pollster, but together the mountain of evidence is too high. Just three weeks after the publication of that article Trump destroyed Hillary by 8 points in Ohio and 18 points in Utah. A New York Times/Siena College poll released on Sunday shows Biden ahead of Trump by 6 points, 49%-to-43%, among likely voters in the state. Clearly the poll results around October 12, 2016 were extremely biased and FAR FROM predicting the outcome of the 2016 presidential elections. Update to the AllSides Media Bias Chart: Version 7.2, Google News Shows Strong Political Bias: AllSides Analysis. , , . A Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by American Bridge, a Democratic super PAC, showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 51%-to-46%, in the state. Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 21.6 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 19.2 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 25.3 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 7.3 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 6.8 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 14.2 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 3.3 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 3.1 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 0.0 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 19.8 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 18.4 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 25.5 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 22.5 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 31 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 38.6 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 3.4 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 11.4 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 12.9 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 11.1 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 22.9 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 25.4 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 12.2 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 26.4 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 25.6 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 70.8 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 83.4 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 88 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 0.1 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 3.4 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 0.6 points (we explained above how we estimated this margin), Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 4.7 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 0.0 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 1.8+ points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 24.5 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 35.7 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 43 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 21.1 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 23.8 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 34.5 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump loses by 12.8 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump loses by 19.7 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump loses by 24 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 11.9 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 10.2 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 17.7 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 1.3 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 7.4 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 13.2 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 9.5 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 16.9 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 18.9 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 19.4 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 30.3 points, Fivethirtyeight 2016 prediction: Trump wins by 16.4 points, Fivethirtyeight 2020 prediction: Trump wins by 14.8 points, Insider Monkey Prediction: Trump wins by 18 points. SINKING, Subscribe to The Georgia Gang YouTube Channel. In review, Insider is a Lifestyle spinoff of Business Insider that focuses more on entertainment, politics, and technology. About American Greatness. A, released on Sunday shows Biden ahead of Trump by 6 points, 49%-to-43%, among likely voters in the state. Now, Im not saying that I know for sure that Insider Advantage polls are purposely biased towards Newt Gingrich, but doesnt it look awfully strange that their founders former boss has been the beneficiary of surveys that are constantly different than the average poll? A CNBC/Change Research poll shows Biden leading by just 2 points, 49%-to-47%, among likely voters in the state. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts An, likely voters showed Biden leading Trump by 5 points, 50-to-45, in the state. RealClearPolitics (RCP) was founded in 2003 as a clearing house for the best news and commentary from across the political spectrum. While this latest poll shows Trump with a narrow edge, a majority of polls conducted in October show Biden with a several point advantage. Take a look at this screenshot of Fivethirtyeight's website from November 7, 2016 (the day before the 2016 election): Today, Fivethirtyeight thinks Biden has an 87% chance of winning the election. See all Left-Center sources. An AtlasIntel poll of likely voters in the state released on Oct. 31 showed Trump with a 1 point lead over Biden, 49.6%-to-48.5%. These facts and figures instead lead me back to the bias accusation. An Insider Advantage phone poll commissioned by the Center for American Greatness, a conservative website, of likely voters in the state released this week shows Trump leading Biden by just under 3 points, 48.4%-to-45.5%. Our InsiderAdvantage poll debuted exclusively last night on Fox News Hannity. Fair Use Policy Read more . "I love women and I can't help it they are the greatest I love them much more than the men," Trump said at a rally on Tuesday. Rudy Giuliani got heated with FOX Business host Kennedy after she likened him to Christopher Steele, the author of the infamous Trump dossier full of thinly-sourced material on Tuesday's edition of her show. This story, like most, is properly sourced to such outlets as Business Insider and Axios. Also, in InsiderAdvantages first survey in the Georgia lt. governors race: Burt Jones (R): 46%Charlie Bailey (D): 41%Ryan Graham (Libertarian): 4%Undecided: 9%, Towery:Jones looks likelyto win without a runoff as of now., Its been five years since former Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed left office, but some of his hand-picked city officials are still being rung up by the feds. A CNBC/Change Research poll shows insider advantage poll bias leading by just 2 points, 49 -to-47. 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